Anticancer efficacy is driven not only by dose but also by frequency and duration of treatment. We describe a multiscale model combining cell cycle, cellular heterogeneity of B-cell lymphoma 2 family proteins, and pharmacology of AZD5991, a potent small-molecule inhibitor of myeloid cell leukemia 1 (Mcl-1). The model was calibrated using in vitro viability data for the MV-4-11 acute myeloid leukemia cell line under continuous incubation for 72 hours at concentrations of 0.03-30 μM. Using a virtual screen, we identified two schedules as having significantly different predicted efficacy and showed experimentally that a "short" schedule (treating cells for 6 of 24 hours) is significantly better able to maintain the rate of cell kill during treatment than a "long" schedule (18 of 24 hours). This work suggests that resistance can be driven by heterogeneity in protein expression of Mcl-1 alone without requiring mutation or resistant subclones and demonstrates the utility of mathematical models in efficiently identifying regimens for experimental exploration.
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