A tool to predict survival in stage IV entero-pancreatic NEN

J Endocrinol Invest. 2021 Jun;44(6):1185-1192. doi: 10.1007/s40618-020-01404-4. Epub 2020 Sep 6.

Abstract

Purpose: Well-differentiated stage IV neuroendocrine neoplasms (NEN) have an extremely heterogeneous, unpredictable clinical behavior. Survival prognostic markers, such as the recently proposed NEP-Score, would be very useful for better defining therapeutic strategies. We aim to verify NEP-Score applicability in an independent cohort of stage IV well-differentiated (WD) gastroentero-pancreatic (GEP) NEN, and identify a derivate prognostic marker taking into account clinical and pathological characteristics at diagnosis.

Methods: Age, site of primary tumor, primary tumor surgery, symptoms, Ki67, timing of metastases of 27 patients (10 females; mean age at diagnosis 60.2 ± 2.9 years) with stage IV WD GEP NEN were evaluated to calculate the NEP-Score at the end of follow-up (NEP-T). We calculated the NEP-Score at diagnosis (NEP-D), which does not consider the appearance of new metastases during follow-up. Patients were subdivided according to whether they were alive or not at the end of follow-up (EOF) and an NEP-Score threshold was investigated to predict survival.

Results: Mean NEP-T and mean NEP-D were significantly lower in 15 live patients as compared to 12 deceased patients (p < 0.01) at EOF. We identified an NEP-D = 116 as the cutoff that significantly predicts survival. No gender differences were identified.

Conclusions: In our series, we confirmed NEP-Score applicability. In addition, we propose NEP-D as a simple, quick and cheap prognostic score that can help clinicians in decision making. NEP-D threshold can predict NEN aggressiveness and may be used to define the best personalized therapeutic strategy.

Keywords: NEP-D; NEP-Score; NEP-T; Neuroendocrine neoplasms; Survival.

Publication types

  • Observational Study

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers, Tumor / analysis
  • Digestive System Surgical Procedures* / methods
  • Digestive System Surgical Procedures* / statistics & numerical data
  • Female
  • Gastrointestinal Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Gastrointestinal Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Gastrointestinal Neoplasms* / surgery
  • Humans
  • Italy / epidemiology
  • Ki-67 Antigen / analysis*
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Neoplasm Grading
  • Neoplasm Metastasis / pathology
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors* / mortality
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors* / pathology
  • Neuroendocrine Tumors* / surgery
  • Nomograms*
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms* / mortality
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Pancreatic Neoplasms* / surgery
  • Prognosis
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • Survival Analysis

Substances

  • Biomarkers, Tumor
  • Ki-67 Antigen
  • MKI67 protein, human