Dynamic analysis of the mathematical model of COVID-19 with demographic effects

Z Naturforsch C J Biosci. 2020 Nov 26;75(11-12):389-396. doi: 10.1515/znc-2020-0121.

Abstract

The coronavirus is currently extremely contagious for humankind, which is a zoonotic tropical disease. The pandemic is the largest in history, affecting almost the whole world. What makes the condition the worst of all is no specific effective treatment available. In this article, we present an extended and modified form of SIR and SEIR model, respectively. We begin by investigating a simple mathematical model that describes the pandemic. Then we apply different safety measures to control the pandemic situation. The mathematical model with and without control is solved by using homotopy perturbation method. Obtained solutions have been presented graphically. Finally, we develop another mathematical model, including quarantine and hospitalization.

Keywords: COVID-19; homotopy method; mathematical model; mathematical model with and without control; pandemic.

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology*
  • Coronavirus Infections / prevention & control
  • Demography / statistics & numerical data*
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical*
  • Pandemics / prevention & control
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology*
  • Pneumonia, Viral / prevention & control
  • Quarantine / statistics & numerical data