Peaks in online inquiries into pharyngitis-related symptoms correspond with annual incidence rates

Eur Arch Otorhinolaryngol. 2021 May;278(5):1653-1660. doi: 10.1007/s00405-020-06362-4. Epub 2020 Sep 23.

Abstract

Objective: To assess whether web-based public inquiries into pharyngitis-related search terms follow annual incidence peaks of acute pharyngitis in various countries from both hemispheres.

Methods: Google Trends (GT) was utilized for systematic acquisition of pharyngitis-related search terms (sore throat, cough, fever, cold). Six countries from both hemispheres including four English (United Kingdom, United States, Canada, and Australia) and two non-English speaking countries (Austria and Germany) were selected for further analysis. Time series data on relative search interest for pharyngitis-related search terms, covering a timeframe between 2004 and 2019 were extracted. Following reliability analysis using the intra-class correlation coefficient, the cosinor time series analysis was utilized to determine annual peaks in public-inquiries.

Results: The extracted datasets of GT proved to be highly reliable with correlation coefficients ranging from 0.83 to 1.0. Graphical visualization showed annual seasonal peaks for pharyngitis-related search terms in all included countries. The cosinor time series analysis revealed these peaks to be statistically significant during winter months (all p < 0.001).

Conclusion: Our study revealed seasonal variations for pharyngitis-related terms which corresponded to winter incidence peaks of acute pharyngitis. These results highlight the need for easily accessible information on diagnosis, therapy, and red-flag symptoms for this common disease. Accurately informed patients might contribute to a reduction of unnecessary clinic visits and potentially cutback the futile antibiotic overuse.

Keywords: Acute pharyngitis; Cosinor; Google trends; Infodemiology; Pharyngitis; Sore throat.

MeSH terms

  • Anti-Bacterial Agents / therapeutic use
  • Australia / epidemiology
  • Austria
  • Canada / epidemiology
  • Germany
  • Humans
  • Incidence
  • Pharyngitis* / drug therapy
  • Pharyngitis* / epidemiology
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • United Kingdom
  • United States / epidemiology

Substances

  • Anti-Bacterial Agents