Connection between 222Rn emission and geophysical-geochemical parameters recorded during the volcanic unrest at Campi Flegrei caldera (2011-2017)

Appl Radiat Isot. 2020 Dec:166:109385. doi: 10.1016/j.apradiso.2020.109385. Epub 2020 Sep 20.

Abstract

Studies concerning 222Rn emission from soils are growing interest in the Earth Sciences, due to the gas potential as a tracer of natural phenomena. This paper presents a study of radon monitoring in two sites of Campi Flegrei caldera (Neaples, Italy) during the period July 1, 2011-December 31, 2017. This area was characterized by several phases of volcanic unrest. A hybrid method based on Multiple Linear Regression + Remote Radon Estimation method + Singular Spectrum Analysis (MLR + RRE + SSA) is developed for the trend extraction and the identification of anomalies in the time series of 222Rn. The results are compared with several routinely used geo-indicators of the caldera unrest. The comparisons show strong correlation among the signals. The present study proves the 222Rn is a potential indicator of the evolution of a volcanic crisis.

Keywords: CO(2); Campi flegrei; Fumarolic tremor; Radon; Time series analysis; Volcanic unrest.