Prognostic value of anti-HBc quantification in hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure

J Gastroenterol Hepatol. 2021 May;36(5):1291-1299. doi: 10.1111/jgh.15310. Epub 2020 Nov 6.

Abstract

Background and aim: It has been reported that serum quantification of anti-HBc (qAnti-HBc) could predict antiviral response in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients, while its role in hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) remains unclear. Its implication in HBV-ACLF was evaluated in this study.

Methods: Baseline serum qAnti-HBc levels were retrospectively detected in HBV-ACLF and CHB patients using recently developed double-sandwich immunoassay. The association of qAnti-HBc level with clinical outcomes was evaluated by multiple logistic regression. Nomogram was adopted to formulate an algorithm incorporating qAnti-HBc for the prediction of survival in HBV-ACLF. The post-hospitalization of HBV-ACLF patients were followed-up for 1 year.

Results: Eighty-eight HBV-ACLF as training set, 80 HBV-ACLF as validation set and 216 CHB cases were included. Serum qAnti-HBc level was significantly higher in HBV-ACLF (4.95 ± 0.54 log10 IU/mL) than CHB patients (4.47 ± 0.84 log10 IU/mL) (P < 0.01). Among HBV-ACLF cases, both in training and validation set, patients with poor outcomes had lower qAnti-HBc level. Area under receiver operating characteristic curve of the novel qAnti-HBc inclusive model was 0.82, superior to 0.73 from model for end-stage liver disease scores (P = 0.018), which was confirmed in validation set. During follow-up, the qAnti-HBc level declined at month 3 and month 6, then plateaued at 3.84 log10 IU/mL.

Conclusions: Serum qAnti-HBc level was associated with disease severity and might be served as a novel biomarker in the prediction of HBV-ACLF clinical outcomes. The underlying immunological mechanism warrants further investigation.

Keywords: HBV-ACLF; biomarker; clinical outcomes prediction; disease severity; serum qAnti-HBc level.

MeSH terms

  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / diagnosis*
  • Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure / etiology*
  • Adult
  • Biomarkers / blood
  • Female
  • Follow-Up Studies
  • Hepatitis B Antibodies / blood*
  • Hepatitis B Core Antigens / immunology*
  • Hepatitis B virus / immunology*
  • Hepatitis B, Chronic / complications*
  • Hepatitis B, Chronic / diagnosis*
  • Humans
  • Logistic Models
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Predictive Value of Tests
  • Prognosis
  • Severity of Illness Index

Substances

  • Biomarkers
  • Hepatitis B Antibodies
  • Hepatitis B Core Antigens