Laboratory Findings Associated With Severe Illness and Mortality Among Hospitalized Individuals With Coronavirus Disease 2019 in Eastern Massachusetts

JAMA Netw Open. 2020 Oct 1;3(10):e2023934. doi: 10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2020.23934.

Abstract

Importance: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has placed unprecedented stress on health systems across the world, and reliable estimates of risk for adverse hospital outcomes are needed.

Objective: To quantify admission laboratory and comorbidity features associated with critical illness and mortality risk across 6 Eastern Massachusetts hospitals.

Design, setting, and participants: Retrospective cohort study of all individuals admitted to the hospital who tested positive for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) by polymerase chain reaction across these 6 hospitals through June 5, 2020, using hospital course, prior diagnoses, and laboratory values in emergency department and inpatient settings from 2 academic medical centers and 4 community hospitals. The data were extracted on June 11, 2020, and the analysis was conducted from June to July 2020.

Exposures: SARS-CoV-2.

Main outcomes and measures: Severe illness defined by admission to intensive care unit, mechanical ventilation, or death.

Results: Of 2511 hospitalized individuals who tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 (of whom 50.9% were male, 53.9% White, and 27.0% Hispanic, with a mean [SD ]age of 62.6 [19.0] years), 215 (8.6%) were admitted to the intensive care unit, 164 (6.5%) required mechanical ventilation, and 292 (11.6%) died. L1-regression models developed in 3 of these hospitals yielded an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.807 for severe illness and 0.847 for mortality in the 3 held-out hospitals. In total, 212 of 292 deaths (72.6%) occurred in the highest-risk mortality quintile.

Conclusions and relevance: In this cohort, specific admission laboratory studies in concert with sociodemographic features and prior diagnosis facilitated risk stratification among individuals hospitalized for COVID-19.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Area Under Curve
  • Betacoronavirus / pathogenicity
  • Blood Urea Nitrogen
  • C-Reactive Protein / analysis
  • COVID-19
  • COVID-19 Testing
  • Clinical Laboratory Techniques
  • Cohort Studies
  • Coronavirus Infections / blood
  • Coronavirus Infections / complications*
  • Coronavirus Infections / diagnosis
  • Coronavirus Infections / epidemiology
  • Coronavirus Infections / physiopathology
  • Coronavirus Infections / urine
  • Creatinine / analysis
  • Creatinine / blood
  • Critical Illness* / epidemiology
  • Eosinophils
  • Erythrocyte Count / methods
  • Female
  • Glucose / analysis
  • Hospital Mortality / trends*
  • Hospitalization / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Hydro-Lyases / analysis
  • Hydro-Lyases / blood
  • Lymphocyte Count / methods
  • Male
  • Massachusetts / epidemiology
  • Middle Aged
  • Monocytes
  • Neutrophils
  • Pandemics
  • Platelet Count / methods
  • Pneumonia, Viral / complications*
  • Pneumonia, Viral / epidemiology
  • Pneumonia, Viral / physiopathology
  • Polymerase Chain Reaction / methods
  • ROC Curve
  • Retrospective Studies
  • SARS-CoV-2
  • Troponin T / analysis
  • Troponin T / blood

Substances

  • Troponin T
  • C-Reactive Protein
  • Creatinine
  • Hydro-Lyases
  • lactate dehydratase
  • Glucose