Editorial: It's Difficult To Make Predictions, Especially About the Future: Risk Calculators Come of Age in Child Psychiatry

J Am Acad Child Adolesc Psychiatry. 2021 Aug;60(8):950-951. doi: 10.1016/j.jaac.2020.12.029. Epub 2020 Dec 28.


A quote attributed to many people, from the Nobel prize-winning Quantum physicist Niels Bohr to legendary baseball player (and philosopher) Yogi Berra states: "It is difficult to make predictions, especially about the future." As though any other prediction would matter; but this is exactly what parents want when they bring their child to the doctor for any concern, ranging from a bump or bruise to whether the child has bipolar disorder. They want the doctor to use both the science and art of medicine to answer key questions: What is wrong with my child? What tests or workup is needed to figure this out? What is the best treatment for this problem? Will my child get better?

Publication types

  • Editorial
  • Comment

MeSH terms

  • Child
  • Child Psychiatry*
  • Family
  • Forecasting
  • Humans
  • Parents