Purpose: Is serum progesterone(P) level on day 2 of vaginal P administration in a hormonally substituted mock cycle predictive of live birth in oocyte donation(OD)?
Methods: Retrospective analysis of 110 mock cycles from 2008 to 2016 of OD recipients having at least one subsequent embryo transfer (ET). Endometrial preparation consisted of sequential administration of vaginal estradiol, followed by transdermal estradiol and 600 mg/day vaginal micronized P. In mock cycles, serum P was measured 2 days after vaginal P introduction. OD was performed 1 to 3 years later, without P measurement.
Results: In mock cycles, mean serum P level on day 2 was 12.8 ± 4.5 ng/mL (range: 4-28 ng/mL). A total of 32% patients had P < 10 ng/mL. At the time of first OD, age of recipients and donors, number of retrieved and attributed oocytes, and number of transferred embryos were comparable between patients with P < 10 ng/mL in their mock cycles compared with P ≥ 10 ng/mL. Pregnancy and live birth rate after first ET were significantly lower for patients with P < 10ng/mL (9% vs. 35 %; P = 0.002 and 9% vs. 32%; P = 0.008, respectively). Considering both fresh and subsequent frozen-thawed ET, cumulative live birth rate per-patient and per-transfer were significantly lower in patients with P < 10 ng/mL in their mock cycle (14% vs. 35%; P = 0.02 and 11% vs. 27%; P = 0.03).
Conclusion: A low P level in hormonally substituted cycles several years before ET performed with the same endometrial preparation is associated with a significantly lower chance of live birth. This suggests that altered vaginal P absorption is a permanent phenomenon. Monitoring serum P in hormonally substituted cycles appears mandatory to adjust luteal P substitution.
Keywords: Hormone replacement therapy; Live birth; Mock cycle; Oocyte donation; Serum progesterone level; Vaginal progesterone administration.