Burden of preschool wheeze and progression to asthma in the UK: Population-based cohort 2007 to 2017

J Allergy Clin Immunol. 2021 May;147(5):1949-1958. doi: 10.1016/j.jaci.2020.12.643. Epub 2021 Jan 13.

Abstract

Background: Wheeze is one of the most common symptoms of preschool children (age 1-5 years), yet we have little understanding of the burden in the United Kingdom.

Objectives: We sought to determine prevalence and pattern of physician-confirmed preschool wheeze, related health care utilization, and factors associated with progression to school-age asthma.

Methods: We used nationally representative primary and secondary care electronic medical records between 2007 and 2017 to identify preschool children with wheeze. Factors associated with asthma progression were identified in a nested cohort of children with follow-up from age 1 to 2 years, until at least age 8 years.

Results: From 1,021,624 preschool children, 69,261 were identified with wheeze. Prevalence of preschool wheeze was 7.7% in 2017. Wheeze events were lowest in August and highest in late-autumn/early-winter. During median follow-up of 2 years (interquartile range, 1.2-4.0 years), 15.8% attended an emergency department, and 13.9% had a hospital admission, for a respiratory disorder. The nested cohort with prolonged follow-up identified 15,085 children; 35.5% progressed to asthma between age 5 and 8 years. Of children with preschool wheeze, without an asthma diagnosis, 34.9% were prescribed inhaled corticosteroids and 15.6% oral corticosteroids. The factors most strongly associated with progression to asthma were wheeze frequency and severity, atopy, prematurity, maternal asthma severity, and first reported wheeze event occurring in September.

Conclusions: Preschool wheeze causes considerable health care burden, and a large number of children are prescribed asthma medication and have unplanned secondary care visits. Multiple factors influence progression to asthma, including first wheeze event occurring in September.

Keywords: Preschool; asthma; children; month; rhinovirus; wheeze.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Asthma / epidemiology*
  • Child
  • Child, Preschool
  • Cohort Studies
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Infant
  • Male
  • Patient Acceptance of Health Care
  • Prevalence
  • Respiratory Sounds*
  • United Kingdom / epidemiology