Machine learning-based patient classification system for adult patients in intensive care units: A cross-sectional study

J Nurs Manag. 2021 Sep;29(6):1752-1762. doi: 10.1111/jonm.13284. Epub 2021 Feb 27.

Abstract

Aim: This study aimed to develop a patient classification system that stratifies patients admitted to the intensive care unit based on their disease severity and care needs.

Background: Classifying patients into homogenous groups based on clinical characteristics can optimize nursing care. However, an objective method for determining such groups remains unclear.

Methods: Predictors representing disease severity and nursing workload were considered. Patients were clustered into subgroups with different characteristics based on the results of a clustering algorithm. A patient classification system was developed using a partial least squares regression model.

Results: Data of 300 patients were analysed. Cluster analysis identified three subgroups of critically patients with different levels of clinical trajectories. Except for blood potassium levels (p = .29), the subgroups were significantly different according to disease severity and nursing workload. The predicted value ranges of the regression model for Classes A, B and C were <1.44, 1.44-2.03 and >2.03. The model was shown to have good fit and satisfactory prediction efficiency using 200 permutation tests.

Conclusions: Classifying patients based on disease severity and care needs enables the development of tailored nursing management for each subgroup.

Implications for nursing management: The patient classification system can help nurse managers identify homogeneous patient groups and further improve the management of critically ill patients.

Keywords: clustering analysis; critical care; intensive care unit; machine learning.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Critical Illness
  • Cross-Sectional Studies
  • Humans
  • Intensive Care Units*
  • Machine Learning
  • Workload*