Many regions of the protein universe remain inaccessible by wet-laboratory or computational structure determination methods. A significant challenge in elucidating these dark regions in silico relates to the ability to discriminate relevant structure(s) among many structures/decoys computed for a protein of interest, a problem known as decoy selection. Clustering decoys based on geometric similarity remains popular. However, it is unclear how exactly to exploit the groups of decoys revealed via clustering to select individual structures for prediction. In this paper, we provide an intuitive formulation of the decoy selection problem as an instance of unsupervised multi-instance learning. We address the problem in three stages, first organizing given decoys of a protein molecule into bags, then identifying relevant bags, and finally drawing individual instances from these bags to offer as prediction. We propose both non-parametric and parametric algorithms for drawing individual instances. Our evaluation utilizes two datasets, one benchmark dataset of ensembles of decoys for a varied list of protein molecules, and a dataset of decoy ensembles for targets drawn from recent CASP competitions. A comparative analysis with state-of-the-art methods reveals that the proposed approach outperforms existing methods, thus warranting further investigation of multi-instance learning to advance our treatment of decoy selection.
Keywords: Protein structure determination; decoy quality; decoy selection; multi-instance learning; unsupervised learning.