Towards validated multiscale simulations for fusion

Philos Trans A Math Phys Eng Sci. 2021 May 17;379(2197):20200074. doi: 10.1098/rsta.2020.0074. Epub 2021 Mar 29.

Abstract

Harnessing energy produced by thermonuclear fusion reactions has the potential to provide a clean and inexpensive source of energy to Earth. However, throughout the past seven decades, physicists learned that creating our very own fusion energy source is very difficult to achieve. We constructed a component-based, multiscale fusion workflow to model fusion plasma inside the core of a tokamak device. To ensure the simulation results agree with experimental values, the model needs to undergo the process of verification, validation and uncertainty quantification (VVUQ). This paper will go over the VVUQ work carried out in the multiscale fusion workflow (MFW), with the help of the EasyVVUQ software library developed by the VECMA project. In particular, similarity of distributions from simulation and experiment is explored as a validation metric. Such initial validation measures provide insights into the accuracy of the simulation results. This article is part of the theme issue 'Reliability and reproducibility in computational science: implementing verification, validation and uncertainty quantification in silico'.

Keywords: fusion plasma; multiscale modelling; nuclear fusion; uncertainty quantification; validation.