The Influence of the Opioid Epidemic on Firearm Violence in Kentucky Counties

J Surg Res. 2021 Aug:264:186-193. doi: 10.1016/j.jss.2021.02.011. Epub 2021 Apr 7.

Abstract

Background: The opioid crisis is a major public health emergency. Current data likely underestimate the full impact on mortality due to limitations in reporting and toxicology screening. We explored the relationship between opioid overdose and firearm-associated emergency department visits (ODED & FAED, respectively).

Methods: For the years 2010 to 2017, we analyzed county-level ODED and FAED visits in Kentucky using Office of Health Policy and US Census Bureau data. Firearm death certificate data were analyzed along with high-dose prescriptions from the Kentucky All Schedule Prescription Electronic Reporting records. Socioeconomic variables analyzed included health insurance coverage, race, median household earnings, unemployment rate, and high-school graduation rate.

Results: ODED and FAED visits were correlated (Rho = 0.29, P< 0.01) and both increased over the study period, remarkably so after 2013 (P < 0.001). FAED visits were higher in rural compared to metro counties (P < 0.001), while ODED visits were not. In multivariable analysis, FAED visits were associated with ODED visits (Std. B = 0.24, P= 0.001), high-dose prescriptions (0.21, P = 0.008), rural status (0.19, P = 0.012), percentage white race (-0.28, P = 0.012), and percentage high school graduates (-0.68, P < 0.001). Unemployment and earnings were bivariate correlates with FAED visits (Rho = 0.42, P < 0.001 and -0.32, P < 0.001, respectively) but were not significant in the multivariable model.

Conclusions: In addition to recognized nonfatal consequences of the opioid crisis, firearm violence appears to be a corollary impact, particularly in rural counties. Firearm injury prevention efforts should consider the contribution of opioid use and abuse.

Keywords: Emergency department; Firearm violence; Opioids; Rural; Substance abuse.

MeSH terms

  • Analgesics, Opioid / adverse effects*
  • Analgesics, Opioid / poisoning
  • Drug Prescriptions / statistics & numerical data
  • Emergency Service, Hospital / statistics & numerical data
  • Heroin / adverse effects
  • Heroin / poisoning
  • Humans
  • Kentucky / epidemiology
  • Opiate Overdose / epidemiology*
  • Opiate Overdose / prevention & control
  • Opioid Epidemic / prevention & control
  • Opioid Epidemic / statistics & numerical data*
  • Rural Population / statistics & numerical data
  • Socioeconomic Factors
  • Violence / statistics & numerical data*
  • Wounds, Gunshot / epidemiology*
  • Wounds, Gunshot / etiology
  • Wounds, Gunshot / prevention & control

Substances

  • Analgesics, Opioid
  • Heroin