Machine Learning Identifies Metabolic Signatures that Predict the Risk of Recurrent Angina in Remitted Patients after Percutaneous Coronary Intervention: A Multicenter Prospective Cohort Study

Adv Sci (Weinh). 2021 Mar 8;8(10):2003893. doi: 10.1002/advs.202003893. eCollection 2021 May.

Abstract

Recurrent angina (RA) after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) has few known risk factors, hampering the identification of high-risk populations. In this multicenter study, plasma samples are collected from patients with stable angina after PCI, and these patients are followed-up for 9 months for angina recurrence. Broad-spectrum metabolomic profiling with LC-MS/MS followed by multiple machine learning algorithms is conducted to identify the metabolic signatures associated with future risk of angina recurrence in two large cohorts (n = 750 for discovery set, and n = 775 for additional independent discovery cohort). The metabolic predictors are further validated in a third cohort from another center (n = 130) using a clinically-sound quantitative approach. Compared to angina-free patients, the remitted patients with future RA demonstrates a unique chemical endophenotype dominated by abnormalities in chemical communication across lipid membranes and mitochondrial function. A novel multi-metabolite predictive model constructed from these latent signatures can stratify remitted patients at high-risk for angina recurrence with over 89% accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity across three independent cohorts. Our findings revealed reproducible plasma metabolic signatures to predict patients with a latent future risk of RA during post-PCI remission, allowing them to be treated in advance before an event.

Keywords: machine learning; metabolomics; predictomes; recurrent angina; risk stratification.

Publication types

  • Multicenter Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Angina, Stable / blood*
  • Angina, Stable / pathology
  • Angina, Stable / surgery
  • Biomarkers / analysis
  • Chromatography, Liquid / methods
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Machine Learning*
  • Male
  • Metabolome*
  • Middle Aged
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / adverse effects
  • Percutaneous Coronary Intervention / methods*
  • Prospective Studies
  • Recurrence
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Tandem Mass Spectrometry / methods

Substances

  • Biomarkers