Background: The 2014 British Thyroid Association thyroid cancer guidelines recommend lifelong follow-up of all thyroid cancer patients. This is probably unnecessary, particularly for differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) patients with an excellent response to treatment and places significant demand on health service resources.
Design: Single centre retrospective cohort analysis of patients diagnosed and treated at the Leeds Cancer Centre between 2001 and 2014.
Patients: A total of 756 patients were dynamically risk-stratified (DRS) as having 'excellent response to treatment' after total thyroidectomy and radioiodineremnant ablation (RRA) for DTC.
Results: Median follow-up was 11.2 (range: 6.5-18.5) years. Radiological recurrence occurred in 15/756 (2.0%) patients and was always preceded by a raised thyroglobulin or thyroglobulin antibody level. The vast majority of tumour recurrences (13/15, 85%) were identifiable within 5 years of diagnostic surgery. Patients classified as having high-risk disease as per American Thyroid Association (ATA) guidelines had an almost threefold higher recurrence rate (2/34 [5.9%] vs. 13/722 [1.8%]) than those with ATA low-risk or intermediate-risk disease. Tumour histology subtype was a significant contributing factor, with Hürthle cell cancer having a worse prognosis than papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) (5/68 [7.4%] vs. 9/582 [1.5%]; relative risk: 4.76 [95% confidence interval: 1.64-13.8]).
Conclusions: The recurrence rate of DRS patients with excellent response to treatment is low. It is reasonable to consider discharge of ATA low-risk or intermediate-risk patients with PTC who remain disease-free after 5 years of secondary care follow-up. Lifelong follow-up, however, currently remains the standard for subgroups at greater risk.
Keywords: differentiated; follow-up; thyroglobulin; thyroid cancer.
© 2021 John Wiley & Sons Ltd.