Temporal evolution, most influential studies and sleeping beauties of the coronavirus literature

Milad Haghani; Pegah Varamini

doi:10.1007/s11192-021-04036-4

Temporal evolution, most influential studies and sleeping beauties of the coronavirus literature

Scientometrics. 2021;126(8):7005-7050. doi: 10.1007/s11192-021-04036-4. Epub 2021 Jun 23.

Authors

Milad Haghani^{1

2}, Pegah Varamini³

Affiliations

¹ School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, The University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia.
² Institute of Transport and Logistics Studies, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.
³ Faculty of Medicine and Health, The University of Sydney, Sydney, Australia.

Abstract

Following the outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 disease, within less than 8 months, the 50 years-old scholarly literature of coronaviruses grew to nearly three times larger than its size prior to 2020. Here, temporal evolution of the coronavirus literature over the last 30 years (N = 43,769) is analysed along with its subdomain of SARS-CoV-2 articles (N = 27,460) and the subdomain of reviews and meta-analytic studies (N = 1027). The analyses are conducted through the lenses of co-citation and bibliographic coupling of documents. (1) Of the N = 1204 review and meta-analytical articles of the coronavirus literature, nearly 88% have been published and indexed during the first 8 months of 2020, marking an unprecedented attention to reviews and meta-analyses in this domain, prompted by the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. (2) The subset of 2020 SARS-CoV-2 articles is bibliographically distant from the rest of this literature published prior to 2020. Individual articles of the SARS-CoV-2 segment with a bridging role between the two bodies of articles (i.e., before and after 2020) are identifiable. (3) Furthermore, the degree of bibliographic coupling within the 2020 SARS-CoV-2 cluster is much poorer compared to the cluster of articles published prior to 2020. This could, in part, be explained by the higher diversity of topics that are studied in relation to SARS-CoV-2 compared to the literature of coronaviruses published prior to the SARS-CoV-2 disease. (4) The analyses on the subset of SARS-CoV-2 literature identified studies published prior to 2020 that have now proven highly instrumental in the development of various clusters of publications linked to SARS-CoV-2. In particular, the so-called "sleeping beauties" of the coronavirus literature with an awakening in 2020 were identified, i.e., previously published studies of this literature that had remained relatively unnoticed for several years but gained sudden traction in 2020 in the wake of the SARS-CoV-2 outbreak. This work documents the historical development of the literature on coronaviruses as an event-driven literature and as a domain that exhibited, arguably, the most exceptional case of publication burst in the history of science. It also demonstrates how scholarly efforts undertaken during peace time or prior to a disease outbreak could suddenly play a critical role in prevention and mitigation of health disasters caused by new diseases.

Supplementary information: The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s11192-021-04036-4.

Keywords: 2019-nCoV; Bibliographic coupling; Coronavirus; Covid-19; Document co-citation; Research synthesis; Scientometric review; Sleeping beauties; Temporal analysis.