This paper describes an attempt to construct a first-principles theory of the fracture toughness of crystalline solids. It is based on the thermodynamic dislocation theory (TDT), which starts with the assertion that dislocations in solids must obey the second law of thermodynamics. A second starting assumption is that fracture is initiated when the tip of a notch is driven to undergo a dynamic shape instability. The results of this analysis are developed in comparison with measurements by Gumbsch and colleagues of the notch toughness of both predeformed and non-predeformed tungsten crystals. The theory includes a simple ad hoc conjecture regarding tip dynamics at small dislocation densities. Nevertheless, its predictions agree quantitatively with the experimental data, including both brittle and ductile fracture, over a wide range of temperatures, loading rates, and initial conditions.