Ethics of uncertainty

Abstract

Uncertainty is inherent in clinical medicine. However, just because absolute certainty is unachievable does not mean that rational and optimal decisions cannot be made. It is argued that we need to distinguish legitimate from illegitimate scientific uncertainties that are generated by manufacturing doubts aiming to create mis- and disinformation. The attempt to create doubts implies that actions under uncertainties are impossible. Such a belief ultimately harms public, which requires reasoned actions within a context of genuine scientific and medical uncertainties. The latter indicates that rational decisions, even in the absence of guaranteed absolute certainty, are not only possible but, on average, beneficial both for society and individuals.

Keywords: Decision-making; Ethics; Evidence; Inferences; Uncertainty.