Study of roof water inrush forecasting based on EM-FAHP two-factor model

Math Biosci Eng. 2021 Jun 7;18(5):4987-5005. doi: 10.3934/mbe.2021254.


To solve the problem of predicting and evaluating coal mine roof water inrush accidents, based on the background of Hongliu coal mine, the relevant weight values of the main control factors of water inrush were determined based on the water-richness index method, combined with the entropy method and FAHP two-factor method. The grid processing function of GIS and the kriging interpolation method are used to draw thematic maps of the main controlling factors, and the weight values of the water permeability indicators are coupled into the GIS. The FLAC3D numerical simulation software is used to analyze the water-conducting fracture zone after the mining of the Hongliu Coal Seam numerical simulation of development and water pressure distribution changes. The results show that the permeability hazard zoning map obtained by the EM-FAHP two-factor model is in line with the results of the damage height and the increased water pressure zone obtained by the numerical simulation.

Keywords: entropy method; fuzzy analytic hierarchy process; numerical simulation; roof water inrush; water-richness index method.