End points that provide an early identification of treatment effects are needed to implement type 1 diabetes prevention trials more efficiently. To this end, we assessed whether metabolic end points can be used to detect a teplizumab effect on rapid β-cell decline within 3 months after treatment in high-risk individuals in the TrialNet teplizumab trial. Glucose and C-peptide response curves (GCRCs) were constructed by plotting mean glucose and C-peptide values from 2-h oral glucose tolerance tests on a two-dimensional grid. Groups were compared visually for changes in GCRC shape and movement. GCRC changes reflected marked metabolic deterioration in the placebo group within 3 months of randomization. By 6 months, GCRCs resembled typical GCRCs at diagnosis. In contrast, GCRC changes in the teplizumab group suggested metabolic improvement. Quantitative comparisons, including two novel metabolic end points that indicate GCRC changes, the within-quadrant end point and the ordinal directional end point, were consistent with visual impressions of an appreciable treatment effect at the 3- and 6-month time points. In conclusion, an analytic approach combining visual evidence with novel end points demonstrated that teplizumab delays rapid metabolic decline and improves the metabolic state within 3 months after treatment; this effect extends for at least 6 months.
© 2021 by the American Diabetes Association.