Noninvasive Respiratory Severity Indices Predict Adverse Outcomes in Bronchopulmonary Dysplasia

Abstract

Objective: To test the hypothesis that elevated respiratory severity indices will identify patients with severe bronchopulmonary dysplasia (BPD) at the greatest risk for adverse in-hospital outcomes.

Study design: This was a retrospective cohort study. A modified respiratory severity score (mean airway pressure × fraction of inspired oxygen) and a modified pulmonary score (respiratory support score × fraction of inspired oxygen + sum of medication scores) were calculated in a consecutive cohort of patients ≥36 weeks of postmenstrual age with severe BPD admitted to a referral center between 2010 and 2018. The association between each score and the primary composite outcome of death/prolonged length of stay (>75th percentile for cohort) was assessed using area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUROC) analysis and logistic regression. Death and the composite outcome death/tracheostomy were analyzed as secondary outcomes.

Results: In 303 patients, elevated scores were significantly associated with increased adjusted odds of death/prolonged length of stay: aOR 1.5 (95% CI 1.3-1.7) for the modified respiratory severity score and aOR 11.5 (95% CI 5.5-24.1) for the modified pulmonary score. The modified pulmonary score had slightly better discrimination of death/prolonged length of stay when compared with the modified respiratory severity score, AUROC 0.90 (95% CI 0.85-0.94) vs 0.88 (95% CI 0.84-0.93), P = .03. AUROCs for death and death/tracheostomy did not differ significantly when comparing the modified respiratory severity score with the modified pulmonary score.

Conclusions: In our referral center, the modified respiratory severity score or the modified pulmonary score identified patients with established severe BPD at the greatest risk for death/prolonged length of stay, death, and death/tracheostomy.

Keywords: lung diseases; neonatal; pediatric; readily available clinical data.