On the reproduction number in epidemics

J Biol Dyn. 2021 Dec;15(1):623-634. doi: 10.1080/17513758.2021.2001584.

Abstract

This note provides an elementary derivation of the basic reproduction number and the effective reproduction number from the discrete Kermack-McKendrick epidemic model. The derived formulae match those derived from the continuous version of the model; however, the derivation from discrete model is a bit more intuitive. The MATLAB functions for its calculation are given. A real case example is considered and the results are compared with those obtained by the R0 and the EpiEstim software packages.

Keywords: Basic reproduction number; Kermack–McKendrick epidemic model; effective reproduction number.

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • Epidemics*
  • Models, Biological*
  • Reproduction