Tracing contacts to evaluate the transmission of COVID-19 from highly exposed individuals in public transportation

Sci Rep. 2021 Dec 27;11(1):24443. doi: 10.1038/s41598-021-03998-y.

Abstract

We investigate, through a data-driven contact tracing model, the transmission of COVID-19 inside buses during distinct phases of the pandemic in a large Brazilian city. From this microscopic approach, we recover the networks of close contacts within consecutive time windows. A longitudinal comparison is then performed by upscaling the traced contacts with the transmission computed from a mean-field compartmental model for the entire city. Our results show that the effective reproduction numbers inside the buses, [Formula: see text], and in the city, [Formula: see text], followed a compatible behavior during the first wave of the local outbreak. Moreover, by distinguishing the close contacts of healthcare workers in the buses, we discovered that their transmission, [Formula: see text], during the same period, was systematically higher than [Formula: see text]. This result reinforces the need for special public transportation policies for highly exposed groups of people.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Brazil / epidemiology
  • COVID-19 / epidemiology
  • COVID-19 / transmission*
  • COVID-19 / virology
  • Contact Tracing / methods*
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Health Personnel / statistics & numerical data
  • Humans
  • Models, Theoretical
  • SARS-CoV-2 / isolation & purification
  • Transportation