Background and aims: Vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) has shown good diagnostic performance in predicting fibrosis stages in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, an optimal diagnostic approach to detect advanced fibrosis in patients with NAFLD has not been established.
Approach and results: We prospectively collected data from 539 subjects who underwent liver biopsy at a single centre between January 2014 and December 2019. Diagnostic performance was estimated using the area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC). Several models combining the fibrosis 4 index (FIB-4) score and liver stiffness measurement (LSM) were analysed to reduce the need for unnecessary liver biopsies. We observed significant fibrosis (≥F2), advanced fibrosis (≥F3) and cirrhosis (F4) in 173 (32.1%), 74 (13.7%) and 46 subjects (8.5%), respectively. The AUROCs (95% CI) for LSMs to diagnose ≥F2, ≥F3 and F4 were 0.82 (0.78-0.85), 0.92 (0.89-0.94) and 0.95 (0.93-0.97), respectively. Optimal LSM cut-off values were 6.7 (≥F2), 8.3 (≥F3) and 9.8 (F4) kPa. LSMs were affected by waist circumference, serum albumin and fibrosis stage (R2 = 0.315). Abdominal obesity, elevated transaminase, diabetes mellitus and high IQR/Median were associated with the discordance of ≥2 fibrosis stages between LSMs and histologic data. The sequential use of the age-adjusted FIB-4 and LSMs yielded the least uncertainty (5.3%) in classifying disease severity with the highest diagnostic accuracy (81%) among a variety of non-invasive test combinations.
Conclusions: The sequential approach of age-adjusted FIB-4 and VCTE could represent a practical diagnostic strategy to detect advanced fibrosis in NAFLD (ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT02206841).
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