Surgical risk assessment for super-elderly patients

Geriatr Gerontol Int. 2022 Apr;22(4):271-277. doi: 10.1111/ggi.14340. Epub 2022 Feb 3.

Abstract

Aim: Super-elderly patients are often frail and the decision on surgical indications remains a difficult issue. The purpose of this study was to provide a certain preoperative surgical risk assessment tool for super-elderly people.

Methods: We selected 112 individuals who were super-elderly patients aged >90 years who had surgeries under general anesthesia in our department. Based on the quality of the postoperative outcome of each case, we categorized these patients into two groups: good and poor groups. We evaluated the fundamental examination items, such as American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, skeletal muscle mass index and so on, and a couple of the well-known risk score systems represented by Estimation of Physiology Ability and Surgical Stress.

Results: A total of 85 of the 112 patients belonged to the good group and the rest belonged to the poor group. The quality of postoperative outcome is well characterized by Estimation of Physiology Ability and Surgical Stress (P = 0.001). Receiver operating characteristic analysis of Estimation of Physiology Ability and Surgical Stress for the quality of postoperative outcome shows sensitivity of 0.83 and specificity of 0.61. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that skeletal muscle mass index and American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status are prominent as the risk determinants affecting the quality of postoperative outcome. A scoring system based on the skeletal muscle mass index, which is a good index of sarcopenia, and American Society of Anesthesiologists physical status, named the "SAP score" has the following characteristics. P-value <0.001, sensitivity 0.76 and specificity 0.91.

Conclusions: Informed consent based on the risk score might be able to reduce the regrettable situation where it would have been better to have had surgery or not to have had surgery. Geriatr Gerontol Int 2022; 22: 271-277.

Keywords: over 90 years old; sarcopenia; skeletal muscle mass index; super-elderly; surgical risk.

MeSH terms

  • Aged
  • Aged, 80 and over
  • Humans
  • Postoperative Complications* / epidemiology
  • ROC Curve
  • Risk Assessment
  • Risk Factors
  • Sarcopenia* / diagnosis