Prognostic implication and immunotherapy response prediction of a costimulatory molecule signature in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma

Abstract

Costimulatory molecules were considered to be promising and important targets in immunotherapy for various cancers. The present study was intended for generating a costimulatory molecule signature in kidney renal clear cell carcinoma (KIRC), to investigate prognostic implication, elucidate immune atlas, and predict immunotherapy response. All the KIRC samples from the TCGA were randomly divided into the training dataset and the testing dataset in the ratio of 7:3. The Cox and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis were used to identify 7 key costimulatory molecules which were associated with prognosis and construct a costimulatory molecule prognostic index (CMsPI), which was validated by internal and external datasets and an independent cohort. Patients in the high-CMsPI group had high mortality. Mutation analysis showed the most common mutational genes and variant types. Immune analysis demonstrated CD8⁺ T cells were infiltrated at a high level in the high-CMsPI group. In combination of analysis of the immune relevant gene signature and the biomarkers of immunotherapy, we may infer there were more dysfunctional CD8⁺ T cells in the high-CMsPI group, and the patients of this group were less sensitive to immunotherapy. A nomogram was constructed, and the concordance index was 0.77 (95% CI: 0.74-0.79). Three key signaling pathways were identified to facilitate tumor progression. The CMsPI can be regarded as a promising biomarker for predicting individual prognosis and assessing immunotherapy response in KIRC patients.

Keywords: Costimulatory molecule; Immune profile; Immunotherapy response; Kidney renal clear cell carcinoma; Nomogram.