Genetic algorithm based artificial neural network and partial least squares regression methods to predict of breakdown voltage for transformer oils samples in power industry using ATR-FTIR spectroscopy

Abstract

The current study proposes a novel analytical method for calculating the breakdown voltage (BV) of transformer oil samples considered as a significant method to assess the safe operation of power industry. Transformer oil samples can be analyzed using the Attenuated total reflection Fourier transform infrared (ATR-FTIR) spectroscopy combined with multivariate calibration methods. The partial least squares regression (PLSR) back propagation-artificial neural network (BP-ANN) methods and a genetic algorithm (GA) for variable selection are used to predict and assess breakdown voltage in transformer oil samples from various Iranian transformer oils. As a result, the root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient for the training and test sets of oil samples are also calculated. In the GA-PLS-R method, the squared correlation coefficient (R²pred) and root mean square prediction error (RMSEP) are 0.9437 and 2.6835, respectively. GA-BP-ANN, on the other hand, had a lower RMSEP value (0.2874) and a higher R²pred function (0.9891). Considering the complexity of transformer oil samples, the performance of GA-BP-ANN has resulted in an efficient approach for predicting breakdown voltage; consequently, it can be effectively used as a new method for quantitative breakdown voltage analysis of samples to evaluate the health of transformer oil. .

Keywords: ATR-FTIR spectroscopy; Back propagation –artificial neural network (BP-ANN); Breakdown voltage; Partial least squares regression (PLSR); Power industry; Transformer oils sample.