Tumor budding is an independent prognostic factor in stage III colon cancer patients: a post-hoc analysis of the IDEA-France phase III trial (PRODIGE-GERCOR)

Ann Oncol. 2022 Jun;33(6):628-637. doi: 10.1016/j.annonc.2022.03.002. Epub 2022 Mar 16.


Background: Histological characteristics at the invasive front may reflect tumor aggressiveness; specifically, tumor budding (Bd) is an emerging prognostic biomarker in colon cancer (CC). We explored further the significance of Bd for risk stratification by evaluating survival of stage III CC patients included in the IDEA-France phase III trial.

Patients and methods: This post-hoc study was conducted on tissue slides from 1048 stage III CC patients. Bd was scored by central review by the Bd criteria of the 2016 International Tumor Budding Consensus Conference (ITBCC 2016) and classified as Bd1 (0-4 buds/0.785 mm2), Bd2 (5-9 buds), and Bd3 (≥10 buds) categories. Disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed by the log-rank test. Clinicopathological features and Immunoscore® were correlated with Bd.

Results: Overall, Bd1, Bd2, and Bd3 were observed in 39%, 28%, and 33% of CC, respectively. Bd2 and Bd3 were associated with vascular (P = 0.002) and perineural invasions (P = 0.0009). The 3-year DFS and the 5-year OS rates for Bd (1 versus 2-3) were 79.4% versus 67.2% (P = 0.001) and 89.2% versus 80.8% (P = 0.001), respectively. This was confirmed after adjustment for relevant clinicopathological features for DFS [hazard ratio (HR) 1.41, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.12-1.77, P = 0.003] and OS (HR 1.65, 95% CI 1.22-2.22, P = 0.001). When combined with pTN stage and Immunoscore® subgroups, Bd significantly improved disease prognostication.

Conclusions: Bd demonstrated its independent prognostic value for DFS and OS. Given these findings, Bd as per the ITBCC 2016 should be mandatory in every pathology report in stage III CC patients. Bd and Immunoscore® could play a complementary role in personalized health care in this setting.

Keywords: colon cancer; prognostic; stage III colon cancer; tumor budding.

Publication types

  • Clinical Trial, Phase III
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Colonic Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Disease-Free Survival
  • France / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Prognosis
  • Proportional Hazards Models