Factors predicting clinical and endoscopic remission with placebo therapy in East Asian patients with ulcerative colitis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Eur J Clin Pharmacol. 2022 Jul;78(7):1069-1077. doi: 10.1007/s00228-022-03312-3. Epub 2022 Mar 26.

Abstract

Background: The placebo effect in randomized controlled trials (RCTs) for East Asian patients with ulcerative colitis (UC) has been poorly characterized. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to determine the placebo rates of clinical and endoscopic remission in East Asian patients with UC and to identify factors that influenced placebo outcomes.

Methods: A comprehensive search was performed to identify all eligible RCTs. The placebo rates of clinical and endoscopic remission were pooled by random effects. Univariate meta-regression was performed to evaluate the influence of different factors on these placebo rates.

Results: Fourteen induction and seven maintenance RCTs were included, comprising 1781 East Asian patients with UC. The pooled placebo rates of clinical and endoscopic remission for induction trials were 13% (95% confidence interval [CI] 10-16%) and 26% (95% CI 21-32%), respectively. Corresponding values for maintenance trials were 15% (95% CI 10-23%) and 24% (95% CI 19-29%). Heterogeneity existed among the studies. On univariate meta-regression, the route of drug administration, outcome definition, disease severity, disease duration, distal disease and concomitant corticosteroids influenced the outcomes of placebo arms.

Conclusions: The placebo rates of clinical and endoscopic remission in RCTs for East Asian patients with UC range from 13 to 26%, and are influenced by specific study characteristics. These results can inform the design and interpretation of future clinical trials in this region.

Keywords: East Asian; Meta-analysis; Placebo; Randomized controlled trial; Ulcerative colitis.

Publication types

  • Meta-Analysis
  • Review
  • Systematic Review

MeSH terms

  • Colitis, Ulcerative* / drug therapy
  • Humans
  • Placebo Effect
  • Remission Induction
  • Severity of Illness Index