A novel clinical radiomics nomogram at baseline to predict mucosal healing in Crohn's disease patients treated with infliximab

Abstract

Objectives: Mucosal healing (MH) is currently the gold standard in Crohn's disease (CD) management. Noninvasive assessment of MH in CD patients is increasingly a concern of clinicians.

Methods: This retrospective study included 106 patients with confirmed CD who were divided into a training cohort (n = 73) and a testing cohort (n = 33). Patient demographics were evaluated to establish a clinical model. Radiomics features were extracted from computed tomography enterography (CTE) images. A radiomics signature was constructed, and a radiomics score (Rad-score) was calculated by using the radiomics signature-based formula. A clinical radiomics nomogram was then built by incorporating the Rad-score and significant clinical features. The diagnostic performance of the three models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.

Results: Of the 106 patients with CD, 37 exhibited MH after 26 weeks of infliximab (IFX) treatment. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the clinical radiomics nomogram for distinguishing MH from non-MH, which was based on the disease duration and Rad-score, was 0.880 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.809-0.943) in the training cohort and 0.877 (95% CI: 0.745-0.983) in the testing cohort. Decision curve analysis (DCA) confirmed the clinical utility of the clinical radiomics nomogram.

Conclusions: This is a preliminary study suggesting that this CTE-based radiomics model has potential value for predicting MH in CD patients. A nomogram constructed by combining radiomics signatures and clinical features can help clinicians select appropriate therapeutic strategies for CD patients.

Key points: • The disease duration (odds ratio (OR) = 0.969, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.943-0.995, p = 0.021) was an independent predictor of MH in the clinical model. • The AUC of the radiomics model constructed by the five radiomics features was 0.846 (95% CI: 0.759-0.921) in the training cohort and 0.817 (95% CI: 0.665-0.945) in the testing cohort for differentiating MH from non-MH. • The AUC of the clinical radiomics nomogram was 0.880 (95% CI: 0.809-0.943) in the training cohort and 0.877 (95% CI: 0.745-0.983) in the testing cohort for distinguishing MH from non-MH.

Keywords: Colonoscopy; Crohn disease; Infliximab; Tomography, X-ray computed.