Frailty predicts outcomes in cystic fibrosis patients listed for lung transplantation

J Heart Lung Transplant. 2022 Nov;41(11):1617-1627. doi: 10.1016/j.healun.2022.07.017. Epub 2022 Jul 24.

Abstract

Background: Survival predictors are not established for cystic fibrosis (CF) patients listed for lung transplantation (LT). Using the deficit accumulation approach, we developed a CF-specific frailty index (FI) to allow risk stratification for adverse waitlist and post-LT outcomes.

Methods: We studied adult CF patients listed for LT in the Toronto LT Program (development cohort 2005-2015) and the Swiss LT centres (validation cohort 2008-2017). Comorbidities, treatment, laboratory results and social support at listing were utilized to develop a lung disease severity index (LI deficits, d = 18), a frailty index (FI, d = 66) and a lifestyle/social vulnerability index (LSVI, d = 10). We evaluated associations of the indices with worsening waitlist status, hospital and ICU length of stay, survival and graft failure.

Results: We studied 188 (Toronto cohort, 176 [94%] transplanted) and 94 (Swiss cohort, 89 [95%] transplanted) patients. The median waitlist times were 69 and 284 days, respectively. The median follow-up post-transplant was 5.3 and 4.7 years. At listing, 44.7% of patients were frail (FI ≥ 0.25) in the Toronto and 21.3% in the Swiss cohort. The FI was significantly associated with all studied outcomes in the Toronto cohort (FI and post-LT mortality, multivariable HR 1.74 [95%CI:1.24-2.45] per 0.1 point of the FI). In the Swiss cohort, the FI was associated with worsening waitlist status, post-LT mortality and graft failure.

Conclusions: In CF patients listed for LT, FI risk stratification was significantly associated with waitlist and post-LT outcomes. Studying frailty in young populations with advanced disease can provide insights on how frailty and deficit accumulation impacts survival.

Keywords: cystic fibrosis; frailty; lung transplantation outcomes.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Cohort Studies
  • Cystic Fibrosis* / complications
  • Cystic Fibrosis* / surgery
  • Frailty* / complications
  • Humans
  • Lung Transplantation*
  • Waiting Lists