This study examined the association between pressure injuries and complexity of abdominal temperature measured in residents of a nursing facility. The temperature served as a proxy measure for skin thermoregulation. Refined multiscale sample entropy and bubble entropy were used to measure the irregularity of the temperature time series measured over two days at 1-min intervals. Robust summary measures were derived for the multiscale entropies and used in predictive models for pressure injuries that were built with adaptive lasso regression and neural networks. Both types of entropies were lower in the group of participants with pressure injuries (n=11) relative to the group of non-injured participants (n=15). This was generally true at the longer temporal scales, with the effect peaking at scale τ=22 min for sample entropy and τ=23 min for bubble entropy. Predictive models for pressure injury on the basis of refined multiscale sample entropy and bubble entropy yielded 96% accuracy, outperforming predictions based on any single measure of entropy. Combining entropy measures with a widely used risk assessment score led to the best prediction accuracy. Complexity of the abdominal temperature series could therefore serve as an indicator of risk of pressure injury.
Keywords: body temperature; bubble entropy; complex adaptive system; machine learning; pressure ulcer; refined multiscale entropy; sample entropy.