Spatial-temporal trends in the risk of illicit drug toxicity death in British Columbia

BMC Public Health. 2022 Nov 18;22(1):2121. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-14586-8.

Abstract

Background: Illicit drug poisoning (overdose) continues to be an important public health problem with overdose-related deaths currently recorded at an unprecedented level. Understanding the geographic variations in fatal overdose mortality is necessary to avoid disproportionate risk resulting from service access inequity.

Methods: We estimated the odds of fatal overdose per event from all cases captured by the overdose surveillance system in British Columbia (2015 - 2018), using both conventional logistic regression and Generalized Additive Models (GAM). The results of GAM were mapped to identify spatial-temporal trends in the risk of fatal overdose.

Results: We found that the odds of fatal overdose were about 30% higher in rural areas than in large urban centers, with some regions reporting odds 50% higher than others. Temporal variations in fatal overdose revealed an increasing trend over the entire province. However, the increase occurred earlier and faster in the Interior and Northern regions.

Conclusion: Rural areas were disproportionately affected by fatal overdose; lack of access to harm reduction services may partly explain the elevated risk in these areas.

Keywords: GIS; Generalized additive models; Harm reduction; Healthcare access; Overdose.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • British Columbia / epidemiology
  • Drug Overdose* / epidemiology
  • Drug-Related Side Effects and Adverse Reactions*
  • Humans
  • Illicit Drugs*
  • Public Health

Substances

  • Illicit Drugs