Nitrogen management to minimize yield-scaled ammonia emission from paddy rice in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River Basin: A meta-analysis

Abstract

Paddy fields in China contributed to one third of the global cropland ammonia (NH₃) emission inventory, while rice accounted for half of cereal consumption, necessitating exhaustive considerations of the balance between NH₃ emissions abatement and food demand. The concept of yield-scaled emission intensity (emissions per unit crop production) has the potential to guide sustainable intensification strategies, yet its application to NH₃ emissions remains poorly understood. Here, by constructing novel crop-specific models for single rice production and NH₃ emissions in the Middle and Lower Yangtze River Basin (LYRB) as a case study, the relationships between fertilizer N application and yield-scaled NH₃ were estimated. Contrary to our hypothesis of a tipping point, our results showed that yield-scaled NH₃ curves could not directly identify optimal nitrogen (N) rates. However, the benefit of lower N fertilizer rate on NH₃ abatement consistently outweighed the risk of yield loss. The exponential relationships between yield-scaled NH₃ and N surplus allowed us to estimate the N surplus criterion as 15.6 kg N ha^-1 (or 190 kg N ha^-1 fertilizer N rate) for the LYRB. Under the N surplus criterion, NH₃ emissions can be reduced by 23-27% without severely impacting rice yield, compared to the N rate required for the highest yield. Moreover, five major controlling factors for yield-scaled NH₃ were estimated by random forest models, ranked in order of importance as N rate, total N, K rate, mean annual precipitation, and soil organic carbon. Among the agricultural practices (irrigation, tillage, and fertilizer management), deep placement was the most effective measure to reduce yield-scaled NH_3, showing 48% reduction potential, followed by proper N splitting frequency (43%). Overall, this study highlights the efficacy of N application optimization and targeted farm management in mitigating NH₃ emission while maintaining crop productivity.

Keywords: Agricultural management; NH(3) emissions; Optimized N rate; Rice cultivation; Yield-scaled.