Purpose: This prospective observational study aimed to determine whether serum oxytocin (OT) or corticotrophin-releasing hormone (CRH) levels in the third trimester of pregnancy (or late pregnancy) could prospectively predict postpartum depression (PPD) at six weeks after childbirth.
Methods: We measured late pregnancy OT and CRH levels in Thai women, assessed depression using the Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale (EPDS) and Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9), and collected mothers, labor, and newborn data. At six weeks postpartum, an EPDS score ≥ 11 or PHQ-9 score ≥ 10 was defined as the presence of PPD. Multivariable binary logistic regression analysis was performed to determine the predictors of PPD.
Results: Of 200 participants, 136 (68.0%) were reassessed at six weeks postpartum, and 19 of them (14.0%) had PPD. Of the 19 participants with PPD, 9 met the EPDS criterion only, 3 met the PHQ-9 criterion only, and 7 met both criteria. OT levels were not significantly different between those with and without PPD (p = 0.35). CRH levels (aOR = 1.011, 95% CI = 1.001-1.023, p = 0.041), DASS-21 stress (aOR = 1.259, 95% CI = 1.132-1.400, p < 0.001), and APGAR at 1 min (aOR = 0.425, 95% CI = 0.240-0.752, p = 0.003) were significant predictors of PPD.
Conclusions: Only high CRH but not OT levels in late pregnancy may predict 6-week PPD. However, combining these CRH levels, late pregnancy stress, and newborn well-being immediately after birth seems to increase the accuracy of PPD prediction.
Keywords: Corticotrophin-releasing hormone; Edinburgh Postnatal Depression Scale; Oxytocin; Patient Health Questionnaire-9; Postpartum depression; Predictors.
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