Objectives: The present study comprehensively investigated the significance of several factors reflecting the therapeutic effects of anticancer treatment on overall survival (OS) in advanced urothelial cancer (UC) patients receiving sequential systemic therapy.
Methods: This study included 101 consecutive advanced UC patients who received first-line platinum-based combination chemotherapy followed by second-line pembrolizumab. The impacts of the following factors on OS in these patients were analyzed: responses to chemotherapy, responses to pembrolizumab, progression-free survival (PFS) with chemotherapy, PFS with pembrolizumab, and second PFS (PFS2).
Results: The median age of patients was 71 years, and 35 and 66 had UC in the upper urinary tract and bladder, respectively. objective response rate to first-line chemotherapy and second-line pembrolizumab were 37.6% and 19.8%, respectively. Median PFS with chemotherapy, pembrolizumab, and PFS2 were 5, 4, and 9 months, respectively. Uni- and multivariate analyses of the five factors examined identified PFS with pembrolizumab and PFS2 as independent surrogates for OS, with PFS2 (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.23) being more closely associated with OS than PFS with pembrolizumab (HR = 0.31). Furthermore, uni- and multivariate analyses of various prognostic parameters showed the independent impacts of baseline performance status (PS) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) on PFS2.
Conclusions: The present results suggest the potential of PFS2 as an optimal surrogate for OS in advanced UC patients receiving standard sequential systemic therapy and indicate that intensive treatment needs to be considered for those with poor PS and/or high NLR prior to the introduction of first-line chemotherapy.
Keywords: advanced urothelial cancer; pembrolizumab; platinum-based chemotherapy; second progression-free survival.
© 2022 The Japanese Urological Association.