Incidence and presentation of new-onset type 1 diabetes in children and adolescents from Germany during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020 and 2021: Current data from the DPV Registry

Abstract

Aims: To determine whether the incidence of type 1 diabetes mellitus (T1D), autoantibody-negative diabetes, and diabetic ketoacidosis (DKA) at diabetes onset in 2020 and 2021 changed when compared to long-standing trends.

Methods: Our study is based on diabetes manifestation data of the 0.5-<18-year-old children/adolescents from the German multicenter Diabetes Prospective Follow-up Registry. Based on long-term pre-pandemic trends from 2011 to 2019, we estimated adjusted incidence rate ratios (IRR) for T1D and DKA, and prevalence rate ratios (PRR) regarding autoantibody status with 95 % confidence intervals (CI) for the years 2020 and 2021 (observed versus predicted rates), using multivariable negative binomial or beta-binomial regression, respectively.

Results: We analyzed data of 30,840 children and adolescents with new-onset T1D. The observed incidences were significantly higher than the predicted incidences (IRR₂₀₂₀ 1.13 [1.08-1.19]; IRR₂₀₂₁ 1.20 [1.15-1.26]). The prevalence of autoantibody-negative diabetes did not change (PRR₂₀₂₀ 0.91 [0.75-1.10]; PRR₂₀₂₁ 1.03 [0.86-1.24]). The incidence of DKA during the pandemic was higher than predicted (IRR₂₀₂₀ 1.34 [1.23-1.46]; IRR₂₀₂₁ 1.37 [1.26-1.49]).

Conclusions: An increase in the incidences of T1D and DKA, but not of autoantibody-negative diabetes was observed during both pandemic years. Further monitoring and efforts for DKA prevention at onset are necessary.

Keywords: Adolescents; Diabetic ketoacidosis; Germany; Incidence; Registry; Type 1 diabetes.