Predicting cerebral white matter lesions based on the platelet-to-white blood cell ratio in hypertensive patients

Abstract

Hypertension is a common chronic disease affecting many people. White matter lesions (WMLs) are one of the imaging features of cerebrovascular disease. Predicting the possibility of developing syncretic WMLs in patients with hypertension may contribute to the early identification of serious clinical conditions. This study aims to build a model to identify patients who suffered from moderate-to-severe WMLs by using recognized WMLs risk factors including age and history of diabetes and a new factor named platelet-to-white blood cell ratio (PWR). A total of 237 patients were included in this study. The Affiliated ZhongDa Hospital of Southeast University Research Ethics Committee approved this study (Ethics No. 2019ZDSYLL189-P01). We developed a nomogram to predict the risk of syncretic WMLs in patients with hypertension using the above factors. Higher total scores on the nomogram indicated a higher risk of syncretic WMLs. This means older age, smaller PWR, and patients suffering from diabetes contributed to a greater chance for the patient to suffer from syncretic WMLs. We used a decision analysis curve(DCA) to determine the net benefit of the prediction model. The DCA we constructed showed that using our model to decide whether patients suffered from syncretic WMLs or not was better than assuming they all suffered from syncretic WMLs or all WMLs-free. As a result, the area under the curve of our model was 0.787. By integrating PWR, history of diabetes, and age, we could estimate integrated WMLs in hypertensive patients. This study provides a potential tool to identify cerebrovascular disease in patients with hypertension.

Keywords: Hypertension; Platelet-to-white blood cell ratio; Predicting model; White matter lesions.