Dynamic changes of circulating soluble PD-1/PD-L1 and its association with patient survival in immune checkpoint blockade-treated melanoma

Abstract

Immune checkpoint PD-1 and its ligand PD-L1 lead to T cell exhaustion, and a high level of circulating soluble PD-L1 at baseline indicates a poor prognosis in melanoma and other solid tumor types. Here we show that the dynamic changes of circulating soluble PD-1 and PD-L1 across the course of immune checkpoint blockades (ICBs) and their changes associate with patient survival in melanoma in a retrospective study. A high change of soluble PD-L1 level at a time-point but not PD-1 significantly increased the mortality, whereas a high change of soluble PD-1/PD-L1 ratio significantly reduced the mortality. After the initial immunotherapy, both soluble PD-1 and PD-L1 increased. However, the change pattern of soluble PD-L1 level was particularly dependent on patients' survival status. These findings indicate that the magnitudes of circulating soluble PD-L1 and PD-1/PD-L1 ratio changes over the time may reflect the patients' response to ICBs or the progression of the disease and predict the survival in melanoma patients treated with ICBs.

Keywords: Immune checkpoint blockade; Joint model; Melanoma; Prognosis; Soluble PD-1; Soluble PD-L1.