Surgical resection as a predictor of cancer-specific survival by stage at diagnosis and cancer type, United States, 2006-2015

Cancer Epidemiol. 2023 Jun:84:102357. doi: 10.1016/j.canep.2023.102357. Epub 2023 Apr 5.

Abstract

Background: When solid tumors are amenable to definitive resection, clinical outcomes are generally superior to when those tumors are inoperable. However, the population-level cancer survival benefit of eligibility for surgery by cancer stage has not yet been quantified.

Methods: Using Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results data allowing us to identify patients who were deemed eligible for and received surgical resection, we examined the stage-specific association of surgical resection with 12-year cancer-specific survival. The 12-year endpoint was selected to maximize follow-up time and thereby minimize the influence of lead time bias.

Results: Across a variety of solid tumor types, earlier stage at diagnosis allowed for surgical intervention at a much higher rate than later-stage diagnosis. At every stage, surgical intervention was associated with a substantially higher rate of 12-year cancer-specific survival, with absolute differences of up to 51% for stage I, 51% for stage II, and 44% for stage III cancer, and stage-specific mortality relative risks of 3.6, 2.4, and 1.7, respectively.

Conclusions: Diagnosis of solid cancers in early stages often enables surgical resection, which reduces the risk of death from cancer. Receipt of surgical resection is an informative endpoint that is strongly associated with long-term cancer-specific survival at every stage.

Keywords: Cancer screening; Intermediate endpoints; Lead time bias; Mortality; Surgical resection.

MeSH terms

  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung*
  • Humans
  • Lung Neoplasms*
  • Neoplasm Staging
  • Survival Rate
  • United States / epidemiology