How to identify follicular lymphoma (FL) patients with low disease burden but high risk for early progression is unclear. Building on a prior study demonstrating the early transformation of FLs with high variant allele frequency (VAF) BCL2 mutations at activation-induced cytidine deaminase (AICDA) sites, we examined 11 AICDA mutational targets, including BCL2, BCL6, PAX5, PIM1, RHOH, SOCS, and MYC, in 199 newly diagnosed grade 1 and 2 FLs. BCL2 mutations with VAF ≥20% occurred in 52% of cases. Among 97 FL patients who did not initially receive rituximab-containing therapy, nonsynonymous BCL2 mutations at VAF ≥20% were associated with increased transformation risk (HR 3.01, 95% CI 1.04-8.78, p = 0.043) and a trend toward shorter event-free survival (EFS, median 20 months with mutations versus 54 months without, p = 0.052). Other sequenced genes were less frequently mutated and did not increase the prognostic value of the panel. Across the entire population, nonsynonymous BCL2 mutations at VAF ≥20% were associated with decreased EFS (HR 1.55, 95% CI 1.02-2.35, p = 0.043 after correction for FLIPI and treatment) and decreased overall survival after median 14-year follow-up (HR 1.82, 95% CI 1.05-3.17, p = 0.034). Thus, high VAF nonsynonymous BCL2 mutations remain prognostic even in the chemoimmunotherapy era.
© 2023. The Author(s).