NT-proBNP and All-Cause and Cardiovascular Mortality in US Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study

J Am Heart Assoc. 2023 Jun 6;12(11):e029110. doi: 10.1161/JAHA.122.029110. Epub 2023 May 26.

Abstract

Background NT-proBNP (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide) is strongly associated with mortality in patients with heart failure. Prior studies, primarily in middle-aged and older populations, have suggested that NT-proBNP has prognostic value in ambulatory adults. Methods and Results We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of adults, aged ≥20 years, in the nationally representative 1999 to 2004 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, to characterize the association of NT-proBNP with mortality in the general US adult population overall and by age, race and ethnicity, and body mass index. We used Cox regression to characterize associations of NT-proBNP with all-cause and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality through 2019, adjusting for demographics and cardiovascular risk factors. We included 10 645 individuals (mean age, 45.7 years; 50.8% women; 72.8% White adults; 8.5% with a self-reported history of CVD). There were 3155 deaths (1009 CVD-related) over a median 17.3 years of follow-up. Among individuals without prior CVD, elevated NT-proBNP (≥75th percentile [81.5 pg/mL] versus <25th percentile [20.5 pg/mL]) was associated with a significantly higher risk of all-cause (hazard ratio [HR], 1.67 [95% CI, 1.39-2.00]) and CVD mortality (HR, 2.87 [95% CI, 1.61-5.11]). Associations of NT-proBNP with all-cause and CVD mortality were generally similar across subgroups defined by age, sex, race and ethnicity, or body mass index (all P interaction >0.05). Conclusions In a representative sample of the US adult population, NT-proBNP was an important independent risk factor for all-cause and CVD mortality. NT-proBNP may be useful for monitoring risk in the general adult population.

Keywords: biomarkers; brain; cardiovascular disease; epidemiology; mortality; natriuretic peptide; prevention.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't
  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Aged
  • Biomarkers
  • Cardiovascular Diseases* / epidemiology
  • Female
  • Humans
  • Male
  • Middle Aged
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain*
  • Nutrition Surveys
  • Peptide Fragments
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies

Substances

  • pro-brain natriuretic peptide (1-76)
  • Natriuretic Peptide, Brain
  • Biomarkers
  • Peptide Fragments