Estimates of Serial Interval and Reproduction Number of Sudan Virus, Uganda, August-November 2022

Emerg Infect Dis. 2023 Jul;29(7):1429-1432. doi: 10.3201/eid2907.221718.

Abstract

We estimated the mean serial interval for Sudan virus in Uganda to be 11.7 days (95 CI% 8.2-15.8 days). Estimates for the 2022 outbreak indicate a mean basic reproduction number of 2.4-2.7 (95% CI 1.7-3.5). Estimated net reproduction numbers across districts suggest a marked spatial heterogeneity.

Keywords: Ebola; Sudan virus; Uganda; reproduction number; serial interval; viruses.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Basic Reproduction Number
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Ebolavirus*
  • Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Uganda / epidemiology