Objectives: In a previous cohort study of 28 300 Navy servicemen, vessel crews showed higher cancer incidence and mortality than did land-based personnel. We have extended the follow-up to look for changes in cancer risk, and to explore temporal trends in cancer incidence and cancer mortality during more than six decades of follow-up.
Methods: Cancer incidence and total cancer mortality were compared with the general population by calculating standardised ratios (standardised incidence ratios (SIRs), standardised mortality ratios) for the entire follow-up, with temporal trends through seven consecutive 10-year time spans from individual entry to follow-up. Rates were compared between the subgroups using Poisson regression, expressed as rate ratios (RRs).
Results: Cancer incidence in Navy servicemen suggested a healthy soldier effect limited to the first three decades of follow-up and confined to land-based personnel. Overall, vessel crews showed 13% higher cancer incidence and 36% higher cancer mortality than other Navy servicemen. Some of the differences may be explained by a higher risk in vessel crews of cancers known to have less than 25% 5-year relative survival (RR=1.71), such as cancers of the lung, liver, pancreas and mesothelioma.
Conclusion: Through most of the observation time, vessel crews had an overall cancer SIR that was higher than that of land-based personnel. Much of this excess involved cancers with a generally poor prognosis, linked to lifestyle and work environment. The contrasts in cancer incidence and mortality between the two subgroups of Navy servicemen persisted through more than six decades.
Keywords: Cancer; Epidemiology; Men; Military Personnel; Occupational Health.
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