The host immune system affects the treatment response to immune checkpoint inhibitors and can be reflected by circulating immune cells. This study aimed to evaluate whether circulating T cell subtypes are correlated with clinical response and dermatological toxicities in patients with advanced gastric and esophageal cancer receiving PD-1 inhibitor-based combination therapy (n = 203). In the training cohort, Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG PS), PD-L1 expression, antibiotic use, and CD4+/CD8+ ratio were identified as independent prognostic factors in these patients, using a Cox regression model. A nomogram to predict the overall survival (OS) and survival probabilities was constructed using these factors. The nomogram showed good discrimination ability (C-index, 0.767) and was externally confirmed in the validation and test cohorts. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that median OS in patients with a CD4+/CD8+ ratio ≥1.10 was 6.2 months, which was significantly shorter than that in patients with a CD4+/CD8+ ratio <1.10 (P < 0.001). Patients with a CD4+/CD8+ ratio <1.10 had a superior objective response (43.8% vs. 23.1%) and disease control (72.9% vs. 59.0%) rate, relative to those with ratio ≥ 1.10. In addition, PD-L1 expression, corticosteroid use, and CD4+/CD8+ ratio can independently predict dermatological toxicities. In conclusion, baseline CD4+/CD8+ ratio is a potential prognostic factor for patients with advanced gastric and esophageal cancer treated with PD-1 inhibitor-based combination therapy, and can independently predict dermatological toxicities. In addition, a nomogram incorporating CD4+/CD8+ ratio, ECOG PS, PD-L1 expression, and antibiotic use can predict OS with considerable accuracy.
Keywords: CD4(+)/CD8(+) ratio; Dermatological toxicities; Esophageal cancer; Gastric cancer; Immunotherapy; Survival.
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