Background: Studies focus on the incidence and risk factors (RFs) associated with reaching the final stage of chronic kidney disease (CKD-G5) and receiving kidney replacement therapy (KRT). Analysis of those related to reaching CKD-G5 while receiving conservative kidney management (CKM) has been neglected.
Methods: Retrospective cohort study analysing electronic health records of individuals aged ≥ 50 with eGFR < 60 mL/min/m2. Cumulative incidence rates of CKD-G5, with and without KRT, were calculated. Multinomial regression models determined odds ratios (ORs) for CKD-G5 progression with KRT, CKM, or death.
Results: Among 332,164 patients, the cumulative incidence of CKD-G5 was 2.79 cases per 100 person-years. The rates were 1.92 for CKD-G5 with KRT and 0.87 for CKD-G5 with CKM. Low eGFR and albuminuria were the primary RFs. Male gender and uncontrolled blood pressure had a greater impact on KRT (OR = 2.63 CI, 1.63) than on CKD-G5 with CKM (OR = 1.45 CI, 1.31). Increasing age and rurality reduced the probability of KRT but increased the probability of CKD-G5 with CKM. Higher incomes decreased the likelihood of developing CKD-G5 with and without KRT (OR = 0.49 CI).
Conclusion: One-third of CKD-G5 cases receive CKM. Those are typically older, female, rural residents with lower incomes and with lesser proteinuria or cardiovascular RF. The likelihood of receiving KRT is influenced by location and socioeconomic disparities.
Keywords: conservative kidney management; end-stage kidney disease; incidence; kidney replacement therapy; risk factors.