Cortical atrophy on baseline computed tomography imaging predicts clinical outcome in patients undergoing endovascular treatment for acute ischemic stroke

Abstract

Objective: Multiple variables beyond the extent of recanalization can impact the clinical outcome after acute ischemic stroke due to large vessel occlusions. Here, we assessed the influence of small vessel disease and cortical atrophy on clinical outcome using native cranial computed tomography (NCCT) in a large single-center cohort.

Methods: A total of 1103 consecutive patients who underwent endovascular treatment (EVT) due to occlusion of the middle cerebral artery territory were included. NCCT data were visually assessed for established markers of age-related white matter changes (ARWMC) and brain atrophy. All images were evaluated separately by two readers to assess the inter-observer variability. Regression and machine learning models were built to determine the predictive relevance of ARWMC and atrophy in the presence of important baseline clinical and imaging metrics.

Results: Patients with favorable outcome presented lower values for all measured metrics of pre-existing brain deterioration (p < 0.001). Both ARWMC (p < 0.05) and cortical atrophy (p < 0.001) were independent predictors of clinical outcome at 90 days when controlled for confounders in both regression analyses and led to a minor improvement of prediction accuracy in machine learning models (p < 0.001), with atrophy among the top-5 predictors.

Conclusion: NCCT-based cortical atrophy and ARWMC scores on NCCT were strong and independent predictors of clinical outcome after EVT.

Clinical relevance statement: Visual assessment of cortical atrophy and age-related white matter changes on CT could improve the prediction of clinical outcome after thrombectomy in machine learning models which may be integrated into existing clinical routines and facilitate patient selection.

Key points: • Cortical atrophy and age-related white matter changes were quantified using CT-based visual scores. • Atrophy and age-related white matter change scores independently predicted clinical outcome after mechanical thrombectomy and improved machine learning-based prediction models. • Both scores could easily be integrated into existing clinical routines and prediction models.

Keywords: Ischemic stroke; Prognosis; Thrombectomy.