Foundations of utilitarianism under risk and variable population

Soc Choice Welfare. 2023 Jul;61(1):101-129. doi: 10.1007/s00355-022-01440-4. Epub 2022 Dec 7.

Abstract

Utilitarianism is the most prominent social welfare function in economics. We present three new axiomatic characterizations of utilitarian (that is, additively-separable) social welfare functions in a setting where there is risk over both population size and individuals' welfares. We first show that, given uncontroversial basic axioms, Blackorby et al.'s (1998) Expected Critical-Level Generalized Utilitarianism is equivalent to a new axiom holding that it is better to allocate higher utility-conditional-on-existence to possible people who have a higher probability of existence. The other two characterizations extend and clarify classic axiomatizations of utilitarianism from settings with either social risk or variable-population, considered alone.

Keywords: D63; D81; J10; Social risk; expected critical-level generalized utilitarianism; population ethics; prioritarianism; utilitarianism.