Purpose: The aim of this study was to examine the probability of achieving acromegaly disease control according to several patient-, disease- and treatment-related factors longitudinally.
Methods: We analyzed data from ACROSTUDY, an open-label, noninterventional, post-marketing safety surveillance study conducted in 15 countries. A total of 1546 patients with acromegaly and treated with pegvisomant, with available information on baseline IGF-1 level, were included. Factors influencing IGF-1 control were assessed up to 10 years of follow-up by mixed-effects logistic regression models, taking into account changing values of covariates at baseline and at yearly visits. Twenty-eight anthropometric, clinical and treatment-related covariates were examined through univariate and multivariate analyses. We tested whether the probability of non-control was different than 0.50 (50%) by computing effect sizes (ES) and the corresponding 95% CI.
Results: Univariate analysis showed that age <40 years, normal or overweight, baseline IGF-1 <300 µg/L or ranged between 300 and 500 µg/L, and all pegvisomant dose <20 mg/day were associated with a lower probability of acromegaly uncontrol. Consistently, in multivariate analyses, the probability of uncontrolled acromegaly was influenced by baseline IGF-1 value: patients with IGF-1 <300 µg/L had the lowest risk of un-controlled acromegaly (ES = 0.29, 95% CI: 0.23-0.36). The probability of acromegaly uncontrol was also lower for values 300-500 µg/L (ES = 0.37, 95% CI: 0.32-0.43), while it was higher for baseline IGF-1 values ≥700 µg/L (ES = 0.58, 95% CI: 0.53-0.64).
Conclusion: Baseline IGF-l levels were a good predictor factor for long-term acromegaly control. On the contrary, our data did not support a role of age, sex, BMI and pegvisomant dose as predictors of long-term control of acromegaly.
Significance statement: Among factors that could influence and predict the efficacy of pegvisomant therapy in controlling acromegaly, a central role of baseline IGF-1 values on the probability of achieving a biochemical control of acromegaly during the treatment with pegvisomant was identified, in a real-life setting.
Keywords: acromegaly; longitudinal studies; pegvisomant; real-world analysis.